P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Connelly Lemuelu
Dolphins · @ MEL
106.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
106.4
L5
103.2
L10
114.5
High
154
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
120SOUMar 08☂109GLDMar 1581CROMar 2188BRIMar 2732MANApr 02121PENApr 17☂121WARApr 2598MELMay 0194CBYMay 07118SOUMay 15146CBRMay 21154NQLJun 06117SYDJun 12107WSTJun 20144WARJun 2793NEWJul 05☂31CROJul 11141NQLJul 19?MELJul 31106.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connelly106.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Connelly2.1
MEL33.0
Tackles
Connelly34.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Connelly0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Connelly0.2
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Connelly0.4
MEL6.3
Offloads
Connelly0.7
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Connelly41.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Run Metres

1701.7per game · league avg 1690.5
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Run Metres

At AAMI Park92.0(1)+2.7
Everywhere else89.3(101)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)88.1(8)-1.3
Dry games89.4(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.