P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Connelly Lemuelu
Dolphins · @ CRO
0.5 LBAO U
Hit rate
11% (2/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.1
L5
0.2
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1SOUMar 080GLDMar 150CROMar 210BRIMar 270MANApr 020PENApr 170WARApr 250MELMay 010CBYMay 070SOUMay 150CBRMay 210NQLJun 060SYDJun 120WSTJun 201WARJun 270NEWJul 050CROJul 110NQLJul 19?CROAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ CRO
Game conditionsOcean Protect Stadium · CronullaRound 22 · 2026-08-02 14:0015.7°C0mm (7%)🌬 9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connelly106.4
CRO1506.9
Tackle Breaks
Connelly2.1
CRO28.9
Tackles
Connelly34.7
CRO352.0
Tries
Connelly0.2
CRO3.7
Try Assists
Connelly0.2
CRO3.3
Line Breaks
Connelly0.4
CRO4.4
Offloads
Connelly0.7
CRO8.4
Post Contact Metres
Connelly41.3
CRO468.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CRO concede · Line Break Assists

3.2per game · league avg 3.9
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At Ocean Protect Stadium0.0(1)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(101)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(8)+0.2
Dry games0.1(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.