Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Connelly Lemuelu
41.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
41.3
L5
39.2
L10
42.6
High
62
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly106.4Run Metres1701.7
2.1Tackle Breaks33.0
34.7Tackles338.8
0.2Tries4.4
0.2Try Assists3.6
0.4Line Breaks6.3
0.7Offloads9.9
41.3Post Contact Metres571.8
Run Metres
Connelly
MEL
Tackle Breaks
Connelly
MEL
Tackles
Connelly
MEL
Tries
Connelly
MEL
Try Assists
Connelly
MEL
Line Breaks
Connelly
MEL
Offloads
Connelly
MEL
Post Contact Metres
Connelly
MEL
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Post Contact Metres
571.8
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At AAMI Park49.0(1)
Everywhere else35.0(101)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)32.4(8)
Dry games35.4(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.