P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Connelly Lemuelu
Dolphins · @ GLD
2.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.1
L5
1.6
L10
1.7
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3SOUMar 08☂3GLDMar 151CROMar 216BRIMar 271MANApr 021PENApr 17☂5WARApr 251MELMay 013CBYMay 071SOUMay 151CBRMay 212NQLJun 062SYDJun 122WSTJun 204WARJun 272NEWJul 05☂0CROJul 110NQLJul 19?GLDAug 012.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connelly106.4
GLD1822.7
Tackle Breaks
Connelly2.1
GLD33.8
Tackles
Connelly34.7
GLD340.9
Tries
Connelly0.2
GLD4.6
Try Assists
Connelly0.2
GLD3.9
Line Breaks
Connelly0.4
GLD4.8
Offloads
Connelly0.7
GLD11.1
Post Contact Metres
Connelly41.3
GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Tackle Breaks

33.8per game · league avg 32.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Cbus Super Stadium1.2(5)-0.3
Everywhere else1.5(97)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(8)-0.3
Dry games1.5(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.