P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Connelly Lemuelu
Dolphins · @ CRO
2.5 TBO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.1
L5
1.6
L10
1.7
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3SOUMar 083GLDMar 151CROMar 216BRIMar 271MANApr 021PENApr 175WARApr 251MELMay 013CBYMay 071SOUMay 151CBRMay 212NQLJun 062SYDJun 122WSTJun 204WARJun 272NEWJul 050CROJul 110NQLJul 19?CROAug 022.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ CRO
Game conditionsOcean Protect Stadium · CronullaRound 22 · 2026-08-02 14:0015.7°C0mm (7%)🌬 9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Connelly106.4
CRO1506.9
Tackle Breaks
Connelly2.1
CRO28.9
Tackles
Connelly34.7
CRO352.0
Tries
Connelly0.2
CRO3.7
Try Assists
Connelly0.2
CRO3.3
Line Breaks
Connelly0.4
CRO4.4
Offloads
Connelly0.7
CRO8.4
Post Contact Metres
Connelly41.3
CRO468.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CRO concede · Tackle Breaks

28.9per game · league avg 32.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Ocean Protect Stadium1.0(1)-0.5
Everywhere else1.5(101)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(8)-0.3
Dry games1.5(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.