P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Josh Kerr
Dolphins · @ MEL
5.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.2
L5
6.2
L10
6.4
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3CBYFeb 287MELMar 143PARMar 229GLDMar 290NQLApr 040MANApr 104SOUApr 183SYDApr 258NEWMay 097PENMay 177WARMay 236BRIMay 315CROJun 079NEWJun 197CBRJun 289WSTJul 043WARJul 183GLDJul 26?MELJul 315.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Josh47.2
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Josh0.7
MEL33.0
Tackles
Josh15.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Josh0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Josh0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Josh0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Josh0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Josh18.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park6.0(1)-2.3
Everywhere else8.3(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.3(7)+1.1
Dry games8.2(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.