P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Josh Kerr
Dolphins · @ MEL
18.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
18.3
L5
23.0
L10
21.2
High
45
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9CBYFeb 2832MELMar 1411PARMar 2245GLDMar 290NQLApr 040MANApr 1011SOUApr 189SYDApr 2518NEWMay 0920PENMay 1723WARMay 2322BRIMay 3114CROJun 0729NEWJun 1917CBRJun 2838WSTJul 0416WARJul 1815GLDJul 26?MELJul 3118.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Josh47.2
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Josh0.7
MEL33.0
Tackles
Josh15.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Josh0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Josh0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Josh0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Josh0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Josh18.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park19.0(1)-10.1
Everywhere else29.1(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)32.7(7)+4.0
Dry games28.7(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.