P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Josh Kerr
Dolphins · @ MEL
0.5 TBO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
0.4
L10
0.5
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1CBYFeb 281MELMar 141PARMar 224GLDMar 290NQLApr 040MANApr 100SOUApr 180SYDApr 252NEWMay 090PENMay 170WARMay 231BRIMay 310CROJun 072NEWJun 190CBRJun 280WSTJul 040WARJul 180GLDJul 26?MELJul 310.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Josh47.2
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Josh0.7
MEL33.0
Tackles
Josh15.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Josh0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Josh0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Josh0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Josh0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Josh18.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackle Breaks

33.0per game · league avg 32.6
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At AAMI Park0.0(1)-0.9
Everywhere else0.9(109)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(7)-0.3
Dry games0.9(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.