P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Oryn Keeley
Dolphins · @ MEL
7.5 RUNO U
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.5
L5
13.0
L10
7.0
High
20
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8SOUMar 0810GLDMar 1510CROMar 210BRIMar 270PENApr 170MELMay 010SOUMay 155CBRMay 2115SYDJun 125WSTJun 206GLDJul 1220SYDJul 1719SOUJul 24?MELJul 317.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:006.7°C0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Oryn66.8
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Oryn0.8
MEL33.0
Tackles
Oryn16.6
MEL338.8
Tries
Oryn0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Oryn0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Oryn0.2
MEL6.3
Offloads
Oryn0.4
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Oryn25.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park8.0(2)+2.4
Everywhere else5.6(47)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.8(8)+0.1
Dry games5.7(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.