Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

DOL

Oryn Keeley

Dolphins · @ BRI

0.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

23% (3/13)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.4

0.6

L10

0.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 6.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Orynvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

66.8Run Metres1842.7

0.8Tackle Breaks31.7

16.6Tackles323.2

0.1Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.2Line Breaks4.7

0.4Offloads10.1

25.2Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Oryn66.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Oryn0.8

BRI31.7

Tackles

Oryn16.6

BRI323.2

Tries

Oryn0.1

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Oryn0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Oryn0.2

BRI4.7

Offloads

Oryn0.4

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Oryn25.2

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Offloads

10.1per game · league avg 9.8

#7 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Offloads

At Suncorp Stadium0.2(19)-0.2

Everywhere else0.4(30)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(8)+0.1

Dry games0.3(41)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.