P
Current to Round 21, today
DOL
Oryn Keeley
Dolphins · @ MEL
16.5 TKO U
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
16.6
L5
27.0
L10
14.9
High
38
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
29SOUMar 0822GLDMar 1516CROMar 210BRIMar 270PENApr 170MELMay 010SOUMay 1514CBRMay 2128SYDJun 1215WSTJun 2018GLDJul 1236SYDJul 1738SOUJul 24?MELJul 3116.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:006.7°C0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Oryn66.8
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Oryn0.8
MEL33.0
Tackles
Oryn16.6
MEL338.8
Tries
Oryn0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Oryn0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Oryn0.2
MEL6.3
Offloads
Oryn0.4
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Oryn25.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park24.5(2)+10.8
Everywhere else13.7(47)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)16.5(8)+2.9
Dry games13.6(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.