Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Valentine Holmes

North Queensland Cowboys · @ WST

13.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

13.3

13.4

L10

13.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Valentinevs all playersStatWST concedePer game

122.8Run Metres1749.4

2.2Tackle Breaks33.3

11.9Tackles339.1

0.4Tries5.3

0.4Try Assists4.6

0.6Line Breaks6.6

1.1Offloads9.1

40.2Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Valentine122.8

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Valentine2.2

WST33.3

Tackles

Valentine11.9

WST339.1

Tries

Valentine0.4

WST5.3

Try Assists

Valentine0.4

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Valentine0.6

WST6.6

Offloads

Valentine1.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Valentine40.2

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium17.3(3)+2.0

Everywhere else15.3(115)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)14.0(4)-1.4

Dry games15.4(114)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.