P
Current to Round 21, today
NQL
Valentine Holmes
North Queensland Cowboys · @ MEL
2.5 TBO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.2
L5
2.6
L10
2.9
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CBYFeb 284MELMar 143PARMar 221GLDMar 291NQLApr 040MANApr 102SOUApr 180SYDApr 252NEWMay 094PENMay 173WARMay 233BRIMay 314CROJun 071NEWJun 193CBRJun 287WSTJul 041WARJul 181GLDJul 26?MELJul 312.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Valentine122.8
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Valentine2.2
MEL33.0
Tackles
Valentine11.9
MEL338.8
Tries
Valentine0.4
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Valentine0.4
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Valentine0.6
MEL6.3
Offloads
Valentine1.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Valentine40.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackle Breaks

33.0per game · league avg 32.6
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At AAMI Park(0)
Everywhere else3.5(118)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.8(4)-1.9
Dry games3.6(114)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.