Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Lachlan Ilias

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ BRI

4.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (6/12)

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Avg

4.8

1.4

L10

4.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lachlanvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

35.4Run Metres1842.7

0.4Tackle Breaks31.7

13.1Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.3Offloads10.1

6.8Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Lachlan35.4

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Lachlan0.4

BRI31.7

Tackles

Lachlan13.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Lachlan0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Lachlan0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Lachlan0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Lachlan0.3

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Lachlan6.8

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium9.0(7)+0.4

Everywhere else8.6(66)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.7(6)+3.3

Dry games8.3(67)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.