P
Current to Round 21, today
SGI
Luciano Leilua
St George Illawarra Dragons · @ MEL
2.5 TBO U
Hit rate
44% (7/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.0
L5
1.0
L10
1.6
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1CBYFeb 283MELMar 145PARMar 221GLDMar 293NQLApr 043MANApr 102SOUApr 184SYDApr 252PENMay 173WARMay 230BRIMay 314NEWJun 190CBRJun 281WSTJul 040WARJul 180GLDJul 26?MELJul 312.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Luciano97.7
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Luciano2.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Luciano19.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Luciano0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Luciano0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Luciano0.2
MEL6.3
Offloads
Luciano0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Luciano39.8
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackle Breaks

33.0per game · league avg 32.6
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At AAMI Park2.0(1)-0.4
Everywhere else2.4(116)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(6)-1.0
Dry games2.5(111)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.