P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Marcelo Montoya
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
22.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.1
L5
13.2
L10
22.1
High
44
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
42SGIFeb 2835CBRMar 19☂44NEWMar 2827SOUApr 037PENApr 0917PARApr 1914BRIApr 240NQLMay 0135MELMay 220WSTJul 18?NQLJul 3022.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Marcelo125.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Marcelo3.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Marcelo4.5
NQL338.9
Tries
Marcelo0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Marcelo0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Marcelo0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Marcelo0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Marcelo37.9
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium41.0(4)+13.4
Everywhere else27.6(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)32.0(8)+4.2
Dry games27.8(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.