P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Marcelo Montoya
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
3.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.3
L5
2.8
L10
3.3
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5SGIFeb 282CBRMar 19☂5NEWMar 284SOUApr 033PENApr 097PARApr 192BRIApr 240NQLMay 015MELMay 220WSTJul 18?NQLJul 303.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Marcelo125.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Marcelo3.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Marcelo4.5
NQL338.9
Tries
Marcelo0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Marcelo0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Marcelo0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Marcelo0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Marcelo37.9
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium4.5(4)+1.5
Everywhere else3.0(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(8)+0.1
Dry games3.0(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.