Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WAR

Marcelo Montoya

New Zealand Warriors · @ WST

3.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (5/10)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.3

2.8

L10

3.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Marcelovs all playersStatWST concedePer game

125.6Run Metres1749.4

3.3Tackle Breaks33.3

4.5Tackles339.1

0.1Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.3Line Breaks6.6

0.3Offloads9.1

37.9Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Marcelo125.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Marcelo3.3

WST33.3

Tackles

Marcelo4.5

WST339.1

Tries

Marcelo0.1

WST5.3

Try Assists

Marcelo0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Marcelo0.3

WST6.6

Offloads

Marcelo0.3

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Marcelo37.9

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackle Breaks

33.3per game · league avg 32.6

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At CommBank Stadium5.0(5)+2.1

Everywhere else2.9(105)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(8)+0.1

Dry games3.0(102)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.