P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Marcelo Montoya
New Zealand Warriors · @ PEN
4.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.5
L5
2.6
L10
4.5
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6SGIFeb 284CBRMar 19☂10NEWMar 289SOUApr 033PENApr 092PARApr 194BRIApr 240NQLMay 017MELMay 220WSTJul 18?PENAug 014.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ PEN
Game conditionsGlen Willow Oval · MudgeeRound 22 · 2026-08-01 17:30☁ 10°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 8.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Marcelo125.6
PEN1561.5
Tackle Breaks
Marcelo3.3
PEN30.5
Tackles
Marcelo4.5
PEN369.6
Tries
Marcelo0.1
PEN2.5
Try Assists
Marcelo0.0
PEN2.3
Line Breaks
Marcelo0.3
PEN3.9
Offloads
Marcelo0.3
PEN8.2
Post Contact Metres
Marcelo37.9
PEN546.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Tackles

369.6per game · league avg 345.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Glen Willow Oval—(0)
Everywhere else4.7(110)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.4(8)+0.8
Dry games4.6(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.