Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Tristan Xerri

North Melbourne · @ HAW

5.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

57% (8/14)

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Avg

5.8

5.2

L10

4.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tristanvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

18.2Disposals355.0

7.4Kicks205.1

3.1Marks81.7

5.8Tackles60.8

6.6Clearances34.2

2.1Inside 50s51.3

14.7Contested Poss.127.8

0.4Goals12.3

Disposals

Tristan18.2

HAW355.0

Kicks

Tristan7.4

HAW205.1

Marks

Tristan3.1

HAW81.7

Tackles

Tristan5.8

HAW60.8

Clearances

Tristan6.6

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Tristan2.1

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Tristan14.7

HAW127.8

Goals

Tristan0.4

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park3.0(2)-2.4

Everywhere else5.4(88)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(4)-1.9

Dry games5.4(86)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.