Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Xavier Savage

Canberra Raiders · @ BRI

138.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

57% (8/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

138.7

169.4

L10

132.1

High

259

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Xaviervs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

138.7Run Metres1842.7

2.4Tackle Breaks31.7

4.6Tackles323.2

0.6Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.4Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

33.4Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Xavier138.7

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Xavier2.4

BRI31.7

Tackles

Xavier4.6

BRI323.2

Tries

Xavier0.6

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Xavier0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Xavier0.4

BRI4.7

Offloads

Xavier0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Xavier33.4

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Run Metres

1842.7per game · league avg 1690.5

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Suncorp Stadium125.0(6)+3.5

Everywhere else121.5(82)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)115.5(13)-7.2

Dry games122.8(75)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.