Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Xavier Savage

Canberra Raiders · @ WST

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.6

3.0

L10

4.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Xaviervs all playersStatWST concedePer game

138.7Run Metres1749.4

2.4Tackle Breaks33.3

4.6Tackles339.1

0.6Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

0.4Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

33.4Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Xavier138.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Xavier2.4

WST33.3

Tackles

Xavier4.6

WST339.1

Tries

Xavier0.6

WST5.3

Try Assists

Xavier0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Xavier0.4

WST6.6

Offloads

Xavier0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Xavier33.4

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackles

339.1per game · league avg 345.6

#12 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At CommBank Stadium3.0(2)-0.5

Everywhere else3.5(86)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(13)+1.0

Dry games3.3(75)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.