AFL
PProjectPunt
Will Ashcroft
Will Ashcroft
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
11.5 HBO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.5
L5
12.8
L10
11.4
High
19
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
14WBDMar 0712SYDMar 1415STKMar 2810COLApr 028NORApr 1111MELApr 1913ADEApr 2610ESSMay 0212CARMay 0810GEEMay 1410GWSMay 2410FREMay 308GCSJun 0619RICJun 148SYDJun 259GEEJul 0213ESSJul 1215WCEJul 18?PORJul 2611.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Will28.0
POR361.6
Kicks
Will16.5
POR207.9
Marks
Will5.1
POR92.1
Tackles
Will3.6
POR59.0
Clearances
Will5.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Will4.6
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Will9.3
POR127.2
Goals
Will0.6
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Handballs

153.7per game · league avg 155.5
#11 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Gabba12.2(26)+0.2
Everywhere else12.0(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)18.0(1)+6.0
Dry games12.0(57)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.