P
Current to Round 21, yesterday
WAR
Mitchell Barnett
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.8
L5
1.8
L10
1.8
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2NEWMar 210WSTMar 273GLDApr 182DOLApr 251BRIMay 171NQLJun 213DOLJun 270SGIJul 184CBYJul 25?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 20.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Mitchell147.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Mitchell1.8
NQL36.2
Tackles
Mitchell25.4
NQL338.9
Tries
Mitchell0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Mitchell0.2
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Mitchell0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Mitchell0.8
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Mitchell53.6
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.7(3)-1.0
Everywhere else1.7(93)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(7)+1.4
Dry games1.6(89)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.