P
Current to Round 21, today
MAN
Jason Saab
Manly Sea Eagles · @ MEL
0.5 LBAO —U —
Hit rate
11% (2/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.1
L5
0.0
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CBRMar 07☂0NEWMar 150SYDMar 261SGIApr 100NQLApr 160PARApr 260PENMay 030BRIMay 090WSTMay 160GLDMay 230CROMay 290SOUJun 041CBYJun 200MELJun 270PARJul 050NQLJul 120GLDJul 190CROJul 26?MELJul 310.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jason136.9
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Jason1.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Jason4.6
MEL338.8
Tries
Jason0.7
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Jason0.2
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Jason0.8
MEL6.3
Offloads
Jason0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Jason40.5
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Line Break Assists

4.9per game · league avg 3.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At AAMI Park0.0(1)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(116)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(7)+0.1
Dry games0.0(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.