Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Jason Saab

Manly Sea Eagles · @ WST

2.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.7

4.0

L10

4.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jasonvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

136.9Run Metres1749.4

1.6Tackle Breaks33.3

4.6Tackles339.1

0.7Tries5.3

0.2Try Assists4.6

0.8Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

40.5Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jason136.9

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jason1.6

WST33.3

Tackles

Jason4.6

WST339.1

Tries

Jason0.7

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jason0.2

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jason0.8

WST6.6

Offloads

Jason0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jason40.5

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Points

30.2per game · league avg 23.5

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At CommBank Stadium2.3(7)-0.5

Everywhere else2.8(110)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(7)-2.3

Dry games2.9(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.