Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Jason Saab

Manly Sea Eagles · @ SGI

0.5 TO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.7

1.0

L10

1.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (6%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jasonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

136.9Run Metres1917.7

1.6Tackle Breaks30.6

4.6Tackles343.1

0.7Tries5.2

0.2Try Assists3.8

0.8Line Breaks6.0

0.1Offloads8.5

40.5Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Jason136.9

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Jason1.6

SGI30.6

Tackles

Jason4.6

SGI343.1

Tries

Jason0.7

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Jason0.2

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Jason0.8

SGI6.0

Offloads

Jason0.1

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Jason40.5

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tries

5.2per game · league avg 4.1

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tries

At WIN Stadium0.3(3)-0.4

Everywhere else0.7(114)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tries

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(7)-0.6

Dry games0.7(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.