Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Reuben Garrick

Manly Sea Eagles · @ NQL

1.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

1.6

1.8

L10

1.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Reubenvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

130.6Run Metres1759.5

2.2Tackle Breaks36.2

12.5Tackles338.9

0.4Tries4.5

0.2Try Assists3.8

0.5Line Breaks5.8

1.6Offloads10.1

38.5Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Reuben130.6

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Reuben2.2

NQL36.2

Tackles

Reuben12.5

NQL338.9

Tries

Reuben0.4

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Reuben0.2

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Reuben0.5

NQL5.8

Offloads

Reuben1.6

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Reuben38.5

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Offloads

10.1per game · league avg 9.8

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Offloads

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.0(4)+0.3

Everywhere else0.7(128)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.9(11)+0.2

Dry games0.7(121)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.