Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Luke Brooks

Manly Sea Eagles · @ SGI

0.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.6

0.4

L10

0.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

80.6Run Metres1917.7

1.7Tackle Breaks30.6

20.7Tackles343.1

0.1Tries5.2

0.5Try Assists3.8

0.2Line Breaks6.0

0.6Offloads8.5

12.7Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Luke80.6

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Luke1.7

SGI30.6

Tackles

Luke20.7

SGI343.1

Tries

Luke0.1

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Luke0.5

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Luke0.2

SGI6.0

Offloads

Luke0.6

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Luke12.7

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Offloads

8.5per game · league avg 9.8

#14 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Offloads

At WIN Stadium0.5(4)-0.1

Everywhere else0.6(118)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.6

Dry games0.6(114)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.