Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Luke Brooks

Manly Sea Eagles · @ WST

1.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

1.7

1.8

L10

1.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatWST concedePer game

80.6Run Metres1749.4

1.7Tackle Breaks33.3

20.7Tackles339.1

0.1Tries5.3

0.5Try Assists4.6

0.2Line Breaks6.6

0.6Offloads9.1

12.7Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Luke80.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Luke1.7

WST33.3

Tackles

Luke20.7

WST339.1

Tries

Luke0.1

WST5.3

Try Assists

Luke0.5

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Luke0.2

WST6.6

Offloads

Luke0.6

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Luke12.7

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackle Breaks

33.3per game · league avg 32.6

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At CommBank Stadium0.8(12)-1.0

Everywhere else1.8(110)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(8)-0.4

Dry games1.7(114)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.