P
Current to Round 21, today
MAN
Jake Simpkin
Manly Sea Eagles · @ NQL
0.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
37% (7/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.6
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CBRMar 07☂0NEWMar 151SYDMar 261DOLApr 021SGIApr 100NQLApr 161PARApr 260PENMay 030BRIMay 091WSTMay 160GLDMay 230CROMay 290SOUJun 040CBYJun 201MELJun 272PARJul 050NQLJul 120GLDJul 190CROJul 26?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jake26.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Jake0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Jake37.8
NQL338.9
Tries
Jake0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Jake0.3
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Jake0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Jake0.1
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Jake8.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.3(6)-0.4
Everywhere else0.7(87)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(7)+0.4
Dry games0.6(86)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.