Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MAN

Jake Simpkin

Manly Sea Eagles · @ WST

37.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

53% (10/19)

enter odds to compare

Avg

37.8

47.6

L10

42.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatWST concedePer game

26.4Run Metres1749.4

0.4Tackle Breaks33.3

37.8Tackles339.1

0.0Tries5.3

0.3Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

8.3Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jake26.4

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jake0.4

WST33.3

Tackles

Jake37.8

WST339.1

Tries

Jake0.0

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jake0.3

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jake0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Jake0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jake8.3

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackles

339.1per game · league avg 345.6

#12 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At CommBank Stadium37.1(11)+9.1

Everywhere else28.0(82)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)30.6(7)+1.6

Dry games29.0(86)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.