Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ WST

188.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

188.0

201.8

L10

191.1

High

239

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1749.4

4.9Tackle Breaks33.3

5.0Tackles339.1

0.8Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

1.1Line Breaks6.6

1.2Offloads9.1

64.5Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Braidon5.0

WST339.1

Tries

Braidon0.8

WST5.3

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Braidon1.2

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium111.0(4)-21.1

Everywhere else132.1(65)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)137.8(4)+7.3

Dry games130.4(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.