Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ SGI

19.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

19.9

21.0

L10

20.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.2°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 12.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1917.7

4.9Tackle Breaks30.6

5.0Tackles343.1

0.8Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

1.1Line Breaks6.0

1.2Offloads8.5

64.5Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

SGI30.6

Tackles

Braidon5.0

SGI343.1

Tries

Braidon0.8

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Braidon1.2

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Runs

195.9per game · league avg 186.4

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At WIN Stadium18.0(1)+4.2

Everywhere else13.8(68)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)15.3(4)+1.4

Dry games13.8(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.