Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ WST

47.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

47.5

49.2

L10

48.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.6°C☂ 0mm (6%)🌬 9.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1749.4

4.9Tackle Breaks33.3

5.0Tackles339.1

0.8Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

1.1Line Breaks6.6

1.2Offloads9.1

64.5Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Braidon5.0

WST339.1

Tries

Braidon0.8

WST5.3

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Braidon1.2

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Fantasy Points

665.3per game · league avg 645.9

#4 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At CommBank Stadium35.0(4)-2.2

Everywhere else37.2(65)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)43.5(4)+6.9

Dry games36.6(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.