Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

64.5 PCMO —U —

Hit rate

60% (9/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

64.5

68.4

L10

65.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1842.7

4.9Tackle Breaks31.7

5.0Tackles323.2

0.8Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

1.1Line Breaks4.7

1.2Offloads10.1

64.5Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

BRI31.7

Tackles

Braidon5.0

BRI323.2

Tries

Braidon0.8

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Braidon1.2

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Post Contact Metres

594.5per game · league avg 545.7

#5 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Suncorp Stadium35.7(7)-9.4

Everywhere else45.1(62)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)51.5(4)+7.8

Dry games43.7(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.