Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ SGI

5.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

5.0

3.6

L10

5.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1917.7

4.9Tackle Breaks30.6

5.0Tackles343.1

0.8Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

1.1Line Breaks6.0

1.2Offloads8.5

64.5Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

SGI30.6

Tackles

Braidon5.0

SGI343.1

Tries

Braidon0.8

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Braidon1.2

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackles

343.1per game · league avg 345.6

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At WIN Stadium3.0(1)-5.5

Everywhere else8.5(68)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)11.3(4)+3.1

Dry games8.2(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.