Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ GLD

5.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

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Avg

5.0

3.6

L10

5.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1822.7

4.9Tackle Breaks33.8

5.0Tackles340.9

0.8Tries4.6

0.1Try Assists3.9

1.1Line Breaks4.8

1.2Offloads11.1

64.5Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

GLD33.8

Tackles

Braidon5.0

GLD340.9

Tries

Braidon0.8

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

GLD4.8

Offloads

Braidon1.2

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Tackles

340.9per game · league avg 345.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Cbus Super Stadium6.7(3)-1.8

Everywhere else8.5(66)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)11.3(4)+3.1

Dry games8.2(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.