Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Braidon Burns

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

5.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

5.0

3.6

L10

5.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Braidonvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

188.0Run Metres1842.7

4.9Tackle Breaks31.7

5.0Tackles323.2

0.8Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

1.1Line Breaks4.7

1.2Offloads10.1

64.5Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Braidon188.0

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Braidon4.9

BRI31.7

Tackles

Braidon5.0

BRI323.2

Tries

Braidon0.8

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Braidon0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Braidon1.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Braidon1.2

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Braidon64.5

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackles

323.2per game · league avg 345.6

#16 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Suncorp Stadium5.0(7)-3.8

Everywhere else8.8(62)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)11.3(4)+3.1

Dry games8.2(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.