Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Jaxon Purdue

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

1.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

26% (5/19)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.3

0.0

L10

0.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jaxonvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

123.6Run Metres1842.7

2.6Tackle Breaks31.7

17.1Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.4Try Assists3.2

0.6Line Breaks4.7

0.6Offloads10.1

30.7Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Jaxon123.6

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Jaxon2.6

BRI31.7

Tackles

Jaxon17.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Jaxon0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Jaxon0.4

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Jaxon0.6

BRI4.7

Offloads

Jaxon0.6

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Jaxon30.7

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Points

26.2per game · league avg 23.5

#4 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At Suncorp Stadium2.0(6)+0.4

Everywhere else1.6(48)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-1.7

Dry games1.7(51)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.