P
Current to Round 21, today
NQL
Tom Dearden
North Queensland Cowboys · @ MEL
56.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
56.7
L5
61.8
L10
56.7
High
75
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
57NEWFeb 2829WSTMar 1448GLDMar 2248MELMar 2865SGIApr 0468BRIApr 1050MANApr 1675CROApr 2453CBYMay 0169PARMay 0862DOLJul 19?MELJul 3156.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Tom109.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Tom2.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Tom23.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Tom0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Tom1.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Tom0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Tom0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Tom18.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park39.0(2)-5.7
Everywhere else44.7(118)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)40.7(7)-4.2
Dry games44.9(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.