P
Current to Round 21, today
NQL
Tom Dearden
North Queensland Cowboys · @ MEL
18.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
18.4
L5
18.6
L10
17.3
High
39
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
29NEWFeb 282WSTMar 147GLDMar 2223MELMar 289SGIApr 0439BRIApr 1024MANApr 165CROApr 2422CBYMay 0134PARMay 088DOLJul 19?MELJul 3118.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Tom109.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Tom2.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Tom23.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Tom0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Tom1.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Tom0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Tom0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Tom18.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park14.0(2)-1.5
Everywhere else15.5(118)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)13.6(7)-2.0
Dry games15.6(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.