P
Current to Round 21, today
NQL
Tom Dearden
North Queensland Cowboys · @ MEL
23.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
23.7
L5
21.8
L10
22.4
High
37
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
37NEWFeb 2824WSTMar 1426GLDMar 2218MELMar 2822SGIApr 0425BRIApr 1024MANApr 1622CROApr 2424CBYMay 0118PARMay 0821DOLJul 19?MELJul 3123.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Tom109.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Tom2.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Tom23.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Tom0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Tom1.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Tom0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Tom0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Tom18.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park21.5(2)+1.5
Everywhere else20.0(118)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)17.4(7)-2.7
Dry games20.2(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.