Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Reece Robson

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

0.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

21% (3/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.9

0.8

L10

1.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Reecevs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

51.6Run Metres1842.7

1.5Tackle Breaks31.7

40.9Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.2Line Breaks4.7

0.4Offloads10.1

16.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Reece51.6

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Reece1.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Reece40.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Reece0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Reece0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Reece0.2

BRI4.7

Offloads

Reece0.4

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Reece16.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Points

26.2per game · league avg 23.5

#4 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At Suncorp Stadium0.0(15)-0.8

Everywhere else0.8(116)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.7

Dry games0.7(123)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.