P
Current to Round 21, today
NQL
Sam McIntyre
North Queensland Cowboys · @ MEL
5.5 RUNO U
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.2
L5
0.8
L10
4.8
High
11
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6NEWFeb 286WSTMar 1411GLDMar 226MELMar 287SGIApr 046MANApr 160CROApr 244CBYMay 018PARMay 088SYDMay 1611SOUMay 2410CBRMay 317DOLJun 060WARJun 210PENJun 270MANJul 124DOLJul 190BRIJul 25?MELJul 315.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Sam44.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Sam0.8
MEL33.0
Tackles
Sam20.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Sam0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Sam0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Sam0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Sam0.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Sam16.1
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park5.5(2)-1.7
Everywhere else7.2(94)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(5)-1.3
Dry games7.3(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.