AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
1.5 GLO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.5
L5
2.0
L10
1.2
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1WBDMar 072STKMar 282COLApr 022NORApr 110MELApr 193ADEApr 264ESSMay 020CARMay 081GEEMay 140GWSMay 241FREMay 300GCSJun 062RICJun 142SYDJun 253GEEJul 022ESSJul 121WCEJul 18?PORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Goals

11.7per game · league avg 12.7
#14 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At Gabba1.1(28)-0.5
Everywhere else1.6(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.4
Dry games1.4(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.