AFL
PProjectPunt
Zac Bailey
Zac Bailey
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
7.5 HBO U
Hit rate
41% (7/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.6
L5
8.2
L10
7.7
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
10WBDMar 075STKMar 288COLApr 027NORApr 115MELApr 1912ADEApr 266ESSMay 025CARMay 085GEEMay 146GWSMay 249FREMay 3011GCSJun 067RICJun 147SYDJun 257GEEJul 029ESSJul 1211WCEJul 18?PORJul 267.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zac21.3
POR361.6
Kicks
Zac13.6
POR207.9
Marks
Zac5.3
POR92.1
Tackles
Zac2.9
POR59.0
Clearances
Zac3.3
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Zac4.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Zac7.6
POR127.2
Goals
Zac1.5
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Handballs

153.7per game · league avg 155.5
#11 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Gabba6.8(28)-0.7
Everywhere else7.5(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)+2.8
Dry games7.2(64)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.