Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Sean Russell

Parramatta Eels · @ WST

97.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

57% (8/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

97.8

90.0

L10

92.8

High

146

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Seanvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

97.8Run Metres1749.4

1.5Tackle Breaks33.3

12.9Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.2Try Assists4.6

0.3Line Breaks6.6

0.2Offloads9.1

29.3Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Sean97.8

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Sean1.5

WST33.3

Tackles

Sean12.9

WST339.1

Tries

Sean0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Sean0.2

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Sean0.3

WST6.6

Offloads

Sean0.2

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Sean29.3

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium100.7(38)+1.7

Everywhere else99.0(40)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)53.0(2)-48.1

Dry games101.1(76)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.