Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Sean Russell

Parramatta Eels · @ WST

1.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

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Avg

1.5

1.6

L10

1.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Seanvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

97.8Run Metres1749.4

1.5Tackle Breaks33.3

12.9Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.2Try Assists4.6

0.3Line Breaks6.6

0.2Offloads9.1

29.3Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Sean97.8

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Sean1.5

WST33.3

Tackles

Sean12.9

WST339.1

Tries

Sean0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Sean0.2

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Sean0.3

WST6.6

Offloads

Sean0.2

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Sean29.3

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackle Breaks

33.3per game · league avg 32.6

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At CommBank Stadium1.7(38)

Everywhere else1.8(40)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-1.3

Dry games1.8(76)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.