Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Dylan Brown

Parramatta Eels · @ MEL

55.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

55.0

54.4

L10

54.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dylanvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

122.3Run Metres1701.7

2.2Tackle Breaks33.0

21.4Tackles338.8

0.1Tries4.4

0.7Try Assists3.6

0.3Line Breaks6.3

1.1Offloads9.9

30.2Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Dylan122.3

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Dylan2.2

MEL33.0

Tackles

Dylan21.4

MEL338.8

Tries

Dylan0.1

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Dylan0.7

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Dylan0.3

MEL6.3

Offloads

Dylan1.1

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Dylan30.2

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park59.7(3)+10.2

Everywhere else49.4(121)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)50.8(4)+1.1

Dry games49.6(120)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.